Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 203.580779 236.609535 274.610277 321.863244 379.457549 447.903736 536.191215
2025-08-24 157.799332 198.599047 250.454784 322.307506 421.073068 554.772906 754.266244
2025-08-31 131.640906 174.945967 233.931215 322.280551 455.111508 654.049665 988.241660
2025-09-07 115.880396 160.802740 225.494113 328.819206 496.446784 770.759288 1284.229208
2025-09-14 99.451185 142.501804 207.139824 315.579977 502.301784 830.431988 1502.569960
2025-09-21 89.495444 132.083425 198.556620 315.380669 528.432564 930.143409 1832.233952
2025-09-28 81.955659 124.214069 192.534266 317.855576 559.063247 1045.682611 2242.753052
2025-10-05 78.750441 122.746332 196.583161 338.425681 628.105456 1258.774108 2984.171109
2025-10-12 75.620480 120.914914 199.585162 357.368733 698.302086 1497.832014 3933.726399
2025-10-19 69.925343 113.964625 192.458438 355.155183 722.443203 1636.141230 4677.089904
2025-10-26 66.532176 110.667381 191.546799 365.292312 776.946243 1871.438186 5909.004898
2025-11-02 62.779852 106.292404 187.990174 369.135750 817.369273 2084.120482 7237.065904
2025-11-09 59.006725 101.892787 184.632001 374.779873 869.385719 2371.200068 9254.435663
2025-11-16 54.959689 96.600357 178.934723 374.459181 907.226623 2639.274137 11574.036948
2025-11-23 51.402364 91.861045 173.733164 374.335396 946.078681 2934.931894 14525.218918
2025-11-30 48.893197 88.915632 171.912433 382.181906 1011.461291 3371.433496 19219.155968
2025-12-07 44.832289 82.415693 161.549572 366.280652 998.300210 3487.104817 21879.559095
2025-12-14 42.330167 78.893187 157.391004 366.041385 1036.777561 3855.108376 27627.970188
2025-12-21 40.282593 76.122342 154.595134 369.011560 1087.762925 4322.323847 35910.719376
2025-12-28 39.748816 76.518830 159.190668 393.734803 1226.945087 5361.623491 55767.115426
2026-01-04 39.063915 76.508978 162.814662 416.558606 1370.008003 6586.413056 87331.848807
2026-01-11 37.052437 73.354002 158.335428 413.888876 1409.394536 7218.259290 113622.136597
2026-01-18 35.939573 72.131021 158.555210 426.120877 1518.727367 8468.954004 170450.258920